Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000627 0.000720 0.000819 0.000932 0.001056 0.001189 0.001341
2025-04-27 0.000488 0.000616 0.000763 0.000942 0.001151 0.001388 0.001673
2025-05-04 0.000404 0.000546 0.000716 0.000932 0.001195 0.001502 0.001886
2025-05-11 0.000337 0.000485 0.000670 0.000914 0.001222 0.001593 0.002069
2025-05-18 0.000298 0.000452 0.000653 0.000926 0.001281 0.001720 0.002295
2025-05-25 0.000262 0.000419 0.000631 0.000928 0.001325 0.001825 0.002494
2025-06-01 0.000222 0.000375 0.000590 0.000900 0.001324 0.001872 0.002618
2025-06-08 0.000189 0.000337 0.000552 0.000873 0.001322 0.001915 0.002735
2025-06-15 0.000168 0.000314 0.000534 0.000870 0.001352 0.001998 0.002906
2025-06-22 0.000149 0.000294 0.000518 0.000868 0.001381 0.002079 0.003075
2025-06-29 0.000131 0.000272 0.000496 0.000857 0.001395 0.002140 0.003216
2025-07-06 0.000115 0.000249 0.000472 0.000840 0.001399 0.002186 0.003337
2025-07-13 0.000106 0.000242 0.000472 0.000859 0.001458 0.002312 0.003574
2025-07-20 0.000098 0.000232 0.000468 0.000872 0.001507 0.002424 0.003795
2025-07-27 0.000086 0.000216 0.000450 0.000861 0.001521 0.002485 0.003943
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000199 0.000429 0.000845 0.001523 0.002529 0.004067
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000191 0.000426 0.000856 0.001569 0.002638 0.004287
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000182 0.000417 0.000858 0.001600 0.002724 0.004475
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000165 0.000393 0.000831 0.001582 0.002737 0.004555
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000149 0.000370 0.000806 0.001566 0.002751 0.004635
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000141 0.000361 0.000804 0.001587 0.002821 0.004802
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000133 0.000352 0.000802 0.001608 0.002893 0.004970
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000124 0.000339 0.000791 0.001614 0.002939 0.005102